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Real Estate

Falling values spread to 40% of Australia’s house and unit markets

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Falling values spread to 40% of Australia’s house and unit markets

Australia’s housing market downturn is gathering momentum as consecutive rate hikes, rising inflation and weaker consumer confidence places additional pressure on values.

CoreLogic’s interactive Mapping the Market tool, updated today, shows 41.9% of house and unit markets analysed in the June quarter declined in value, a significant increase on Q1, when 23.6% of markets recorded a fall in values.

Using the CoreLogic Home Value Index, a methodology widely used by economists and institutions nationally, 3,085 capital city house and unit markets were analysed to provide a national overview of quarterly and annual changes to median values.

CoreLogic Economist Kaytlin Ezzy said the updated data showed a significant uptick in the proportion of declining markets compared to March, when values were falling predominantly in Sydney and Melbourne markets.

“This analysis captures two of the three recent rate hikes so it’s not surprising to see the added downward pressure has had a broader impact on the housing market,” she said.

“Signs of a slowdown and falls in value were already evident before the rate rises, but are now becoming more widespread across Sydney and Melbourne, and beginning to impact the more expensive areas of Brisbane, Canberra and Hobart. Historically, premium suburbs are more volatile than the more affordable areas, values shoot up much faster during an upturn, but are among the first to fall during a declining market.”

The CoreLogic Home Value Index, showed national dwelling values declined -0.2% over the June quarter, with every capital city and broad rest of state region well past their peak rate of growth.

Growth conditions across Sydney weakened significantly over the period, with house values falling -3.0%. Although 81.1% of house markets analysed recorded a fall in values over the three months to June, three out of four suburbs still have a median house value of more than $1 million with no house markets under $500,000.

Ms Ezzy said due to relative affordability, Sydney’s unit market was slightly more resilient than its house market, with unit values declining -2.1% over the quarter.

Almost two thirds of the Sydney unit markets analysed had a median value of between $500,000 and $1 million, while 30.6% recorded a median above $1 million. Only 19 areas recorded a median value below $500,000.

The slowdown previously seen across Melbourne’s inner east has become more wide spread, with 80.0% of the city’s house markets falling in value over the quarter while almost 60% of unit markets recorded a fall, Ms Ezzy said.

“Units nationally have proven to be slightly more resilient than house markets, which largely comes down to affordability. While units in some of those more expensive inner-city areas are starting to decline nationally, fewer unit markets fell over the quarter than houses.”

While growth conditions in Brisbane remain positive, signs of easing are evident Ms Ezzy said with 11.6% markets recording a quarterly fall in values. Of the suburbs analysed, 120 (35.7%) recorded a median house value in excess of $1 million, up from 33.2% in the March quarter.

Only 10 of Brisbane’s 180 unit markets declined in value over the quarter, with four suburbs in the Logan-Beaudesert region are among the country’s most affordable, recording median values below $250,000.

Adelaide had the strongest quarterly growth in house values amongst the capitals at 5.1%.Henley Beach South house values, down -1.0%, was the only house market to decline during the quarter.

“Adelaide has recorded the strongest growth in the past quarter, but has shown an easing in the quarterly rate of growth since February this year,” Ms Ezzy said.

“A quarter of Adelaide’s house markets are recording a median of $1 million or more, yet despite its recent growth, it also remains relatively affordable with a number of unit and house markets still recording a median of less than $500,000.”

After WA’s state border opened in March, Perth’s house values surged 2.2% over the three months to June, with fewer than 20 markets recording a decline in values in the June quarter.  Perth housing values remain the lowest of any capital city.

Hobart’s median house value declined -0.5% to $796,863 in the June quarter with more than half the markets analysed recording quarterly falls, while only three unit markets fell in value over the same period.

In Darwin, house values increased by 3.0% in the June quarter taking the city’s median value to $588,928, with only two suburbs recording a quarterly decline in house values. Unit values increased 1.0% for the same period, taking the median unit value to $378,325.

Canberra’s median house value increased by 1.2% in the June quarter to $1,065,317, leaving only two of the 83 suburbs analysed with a median house value  less than $750,000. Although values have softened in a handful of house and unit markets in the last quarter, there have been no annual falls recorded. Canberra’s median unit value increased 2.6% over the quarter to $629,531 in June.

Access CoreLogic’s Mapping the Market tool at www.corelogic.com.au/our-data/mapping-market

 

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Transparency and Accountability in Building Approvals Key

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Transparency and Accountability in Building Approvals Key

 

The Master Builders Association of NSW (MBA) has commended the NSW Government’s initiative to enhance transparency and accountability in the building approvals process with the introduction of a new reporting dashboard and a statement of expectations.

MBA Executive Director Brian Seidler expressed strong industry support for these measures, which create a clear and accessible platform to report on average building approval and lodgement times.

“In the past, consumers and builders have struggled to access information about potential delays in their development applications. This initiative changes that,” Mr. Seidler said.

“The industry will now have access to information that allows for better coordination of projects. This is a model that should be replicated across the country.”

Mr. Seidler noted that the NSW Government is leading the way by implementing additional incentives and measures to assist councils in reducing approval times.

“The dashboard reveals that some council areas need to invest more resources in addressing approval backlogs, allowing builders to proceed with delivering new homes,” he added.

The MBA views this initiative as a significant step toward improving efficiency and accountability in the building industry, ultimately benefiting both builders and consumers.

 

For more real estate news, click here.

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Protect Yourself Against Payment Redirection Scams

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Protect Yourself Against Payment Redirection Scams

 

Payment redirection scams, where scammers impersonate conveyancers or real estate agents to provide false account numbers and redirect payments, have become alarmingly prevalent. According to the latest figures from the Australian Competition and Consumer Commission (ACCC), Australians lost more than $3 billion to scammers in 2022, including significant losses from payment redirection scams.

Prevalence of Payment Redirection Scams

As house prices rise, scammers are using increasingly sophisticated methods to intercept electronic money transfers. These scams, often referred to as business email compromise scams, have resulted in losses of $225 million intended for conveyancers to purchase new homes. The ACCC’s Scamwatch receives an average of two reports a week related to these scams linked to real estate transactions.

Recent media reports highlight the severity of these scams. One case involved a homebuyer who inadvertently sent $284,000 to a scammer’s account after the email chain with his conveyancer was hacked. Another tragic instance saw a young couple lose their $25,000 house deposit to a property scam.

Steps to Avoid Payment Redirection Scams

Scammers are adept at hacking email accounts to impersonate conveyancers or real estate agents, providing false account numbers to divert funds. To protect yourself, follow these steps:

  1. Verify Email Addresses and Account Numbers: Even if you have been corresponding with a conveyancer for some time, double-check that the email address and account number are correct. Avoid hitting “reply” or clicking on links within emails, as hackers often alter just one letter in an email address to deceive you.
  2. Avoid Using Contact Information from Suspicious Emails: Never call the phone number provided in a suspect email. Instead, use a phone number you received independently and speak to the person you have been dealing with previously. Always double-check the account number before sending any money.
  3. Be Wary of Urgent Emails: If you receive an email that creates a sense of urgency, don’t rush. Verify the email’s authenticity by contacting the company directly, using a number you obtained earlier. If the email instructs you to change payment details, confirm with the company involved before making any changes.
  4. Follow Money Transfer Precautions: Law firms like Stacks Law Firm advise clients to always verify bank account details by phone before making any money transfers. They attach warnings about potential scams to their emails to alert clients to the risks.

What to Do if You Discover a Payment Redirection Scam

If you fall victim to a scam, contact your bank immediately. The bank may be able to stop the transfer if notified within three days. If you are unsatisfied with the bank’s response, seek legal advice. This is particularly advantageous if your conveyancer is associated with a law firm.

For additional support, the national cyber support service IDCARE can help victims develop a plan to mitigate the damage. The new National Anti-Scam Centre is also coordinating efforts to combat scammers. The ACCC offers numerous resources to educate Australians on avoiding scams and protecting themselves.

For more information, visit the ACCC’s Scamwatch website.

 

For more real estate news, click here.

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Housing Policy Disaster: Property Approaches a Tipping Point

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Housing Policy Disaster: Property Approaches a Tipping Point

 

Experts predict the end of 20 per cent plus rent hikes, but the rental crisis is expected to persist as tenants compete for limited properties.

The Australian rental market is at a critical juncture. Vacancy rates have edged higher, and the pace of rental growth has slowed, but relief for renters remains distant. According to SQM Research, Australia’s rental vacancy rate increased slightly to 1.3 per cent in June from 1.2 per cent in May. Sydney’s vacancy rate rose to 1.7 per cent, Melbourne to 1.5 per cent, Brisbane to 1.1 per cent, and Perth to 0.8 per cent.

Although still a landlord’s market, SQM Research managing director Louis Christopher noted a shift. Historically, rental vacancies increase in June due to a winter lull, but this seasonal effect disappeared in 2021 and 2022. “The fact that this year we’ve recorded a seasonal increase suggests the rental market is starting to return to more normal activity levels,” he said. Christopher is confident that the era of 10 to 20 per cent annual rental increases is ending.

Tenants have responded to soaring rents by sharing housing, relocating to regional areas, or buying their first homes. This has been factored into current rents, leading Christopher to predict that future rent increases will align more closely with inflation trends.

Despite this, the rental market remains in severe shortage and is unlikely to materially soften for several years. A slight increase in vacancy rates in Sydney, Melbourne, Canberra, and Brisbane’s CBDs indicates that student demand for rental accommodation may have peaked, with migration rates expected to slow.

Dr. Peter Tulip, chief economist at the Centre for Independent Studies, agrees that the rent boom is tapering off but emphasises that the crisis continues. “Vacancies are unusually low, and the rental market remains extremely tight,” he said. He expects rents to continue rising faster than other prices and incomes, presenting a grim outlook for renters. “We have a housing policy disaster in this country, and it’s going to get worse,” he warned.

Tulip supports the NSW government’s push for more housing, especially around train lines, and calls for other governments to adopt similar measures. Despite a slight improvement, he insists that shortages remain significant.

Dr. Nicola Powell, Domain’s chief of research and economics, noted that the rental market began to turn a corner several months ago but will take longer to fully rebalance. “The vacancy rate has been nudging higher, and the pace of rental growth has slowed,” she said. Powell believes the 20 per cent annual rent increases are over.

In the June quarter, Sydney’s house rents held steady for the first time in 18 months, while Melbourne’s house rent growth was the lowest since March 2023. Powell points out that net overseas migration remains high but is decreasing, investors are returning, and households are adjusting by moving into shared housing or back with parents. “It is technically still a landlord’s market across Australia, but rental price growth has stabilised over the quarter,” she said. “The affordability ceiling hasn’t been reached; it’s been smashed.”

 

For more real estate news, click here.

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