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Real Estate

Falling values spread to 40% of Australia’s house and unit markets

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Falling values spread to 40% of Australia’s house and unit markets

Australia’s housing market downturn is gathering momentum as consecutive rate hikes, rising inflation and weaker consumer confidence places additional pressure on values.

CoreLogic’s interactive Mapping the Market tool, updated today, shows 41.9% of house and unit markets analysed in the June quarter declined in value, a significant increase on Q1, when 23.6% of markets recorded a fall in values.

Using the CoreLogic Home Value Index, a methodology widely used by economists and institutions nationally, 3,085 capital city house and unit markets were analysed to provide a national overview of quarterly and annual changes to median values.

CoreLogic Economist Kaytlin Ezzy said the updated data showed a significant uptick in the proportion of declining markets compared to March, when values were falling predominantly in Sydney and Melbourne markets.

“This analysis captures two of the three recent rate hikes so it’s not surprising to see the added downward pressure has had a broader impact on the housing market,” she said.

“Signs of a slowdown and falls in value were already evident before the rate rises, but are now becoming more widespread across Sydney and Melbourne, and beginning to impact the more expensive areas of Brisbane, Canberra and Hobart. Historically, premium suburbs are more volatile than the more affordable areas, values shoot up much faster during an upturn, but are among the first to fall during a declining market.”

The CoreLogic Home Value Index, showed national dwelling values declined -0.2% over the June quarter, with every capital city and broad rest of state region well past their peak rate of growth.

Growth conditions across Sydney weakened significantly over the period, with house values falling -3.0%. Although 81.1% of house markets analysed recorded a fall in values over the three months to June, three out of four suburbs still have a median house value of more than $1 million with no house markets under $500,000.

Ms Ezzy said due to relative affordability, Sydney’s unit market was slightly more resilient than its house market, with unit values declining -2.1% over the quarter.

Almost two thirds of the Sydney unit markets analysed had a median value of between $500,000 and $1 million, while 30.6% recorded a median above $1 million. Only 19 areas recorded a median value below $500,000.

The slowdown previously seen across Melbourne’s inner east has become more wide spread, with 80.0% of the city’s house markets falling in value over the quarter while almost 60% of unit markets recorded a fall, Ms Ezzy said.

“Units nationally have proven to be slightly more resilient than house markets, which largely comes down to affordability. While units in some of those more expensive inner-city areas are starting to decline nationally, fewer unit markets fell over the quarter than houses.”

While growth conditions in Brisbane remain positive, signs of easing are evident Ms Ezzy said with 11.6% markets recording a quarterly fall in values. Of the suburbs analysed, 120 (35.7%) recorded a median house value in excess of $1 million, up from 33.2% in the March quarter.

Only 10 of Brisbane’s 180 unit markets declined in value over the quarter, with four suburbs in the Logan-Beaudesert region are among the country’s most affordable, recording median values below $250,000.

Adelaide had the strongest quarterly growth in house values amongst the capitals at 5.1%.Henley Beach South house values, down -1.0%, was the only house market to decline during the quarter.

“Adelaide has recorded the strongest growth in the past quarter, but has shown an easing in the quarterly rate of growth since February this year,” Ms Ezzy said.

“A quarter of Adelaide’s house markets are recording a median of $1 million or more, yet despite its recent growth, it also remains relatively affordable with a number of unit and house markets still recording a median of less than $500,000.”

After WA’s state border opened in March, Perth’s house values surged 2.2% over the three months to June, with fewer than 20 markets recording a decline in values in the June quarter.  Perth housing values remain the lowest of any capital city.

Hobart’s median house value declined -0.5% to $796,863 in the June quarter with more than half the markets analysed recording quarterly falls, while only three unit markets fell in value over the same period.

In Darwin, house values increased by 3.0% in the June quarter taking the city’s median value to $588,928, with only two suburbs recording a quarterly decline in house values. Unit values increased 1.0% for the same period, taking the median unit value to $378,325.

Canberra’s median house value increased by 1.2% in the June quarter to $1,065,317, leaving only two of the 83 suburbs analysed with a median house value  less than $750,000. Although values have softened in a handful of house and unit markets in the last quarter, there have been no annual falls recorded. Canberra’s median unit value increased 2.6% over the quarter to $629,531 in June.

Access CoreLogic’s Mapping the Market tool at www.corelogic.com.au/our-data/mapping-market

 

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AUSTRALIA’S ANNUAL RENT BILL BLOWS OUT BY $44 BILLION PER ANNUM OVER THE LAST DECADE

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AUSTRALIA’S ANNUAL RENT BILL BLOWS OUT BY $44 BILLION PER ANNUM OVER THE LAST DECADE

 

Kevin Young, President of Property Club, Australia’s largest independent property investment group, has highlighted a concerning trend regarding the financial strain faced by renters across Australia. According to Mr. Young, a government-engineered rental crisis has resulted in an additional $44 billion per year being imposed on renters nationwide.

Over the past decade, the median weekly rent in Australia has doubled, skyrocketing from $300 to over $600. This exponential increase means that Australian renters collectively shell out nearly $250 million in rent every day. Meanwhile, full-time adult average weekly earnings have only risen by 30 percent during the same period, reaching $1953. This stark contrast illustrates that rents have surged at more than three times the rate of wage growth.

Mr. Young points out that this rental crisis is especially burdensome for low and middle-income renters, who struggle to keep up with rising rents amid other cost-of-living pressures. He predicts that the situation will worsen with a significant influx of migrants to Australia, exacerbating the housing demand-supply gap.

To swiftly address the rental crisis, Mr. Young proposes two key policy reversals by the Federal Government. Firstly, he calls for the reinstatement of depreciation benefits associated with owning second-hand properties, which were abolished in 2017. This change disincentivized property investors from purchasing cheaper second-hand rental properties, thereby reducing the availability of affordable rental options.

Secondly, Mr. Young urges the Federal Government to reintroduce interest-only lending without time limits for property investors. The imposition of time limits on interest-only loans by the Australian Prudential Regulation Authority in December 2014 forced many mom-and-pop property investors to sell their rental properties, as they could not afford principal and interest loans after being forced to switch repayment methods.

Mr. Young warns that without prompt action, rental prices will continue to soar, potentially driving thousands of Australians into homelessness. He emphasises the urgent need for the government to reverse these detrimental policy decisions to prevent the rental crisis from escalating into a nationwide homelessness crisis.

 

For more real estate news, click here.

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Australian Property Prices Surge Despite Increased Listings

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Australian Property Prices Surge Despite Increased Listings

 

The latest data from the PropTrack Home Price Index reveals a robust surge in property prices across Australia during March, even amidst a rise in property listings as homeowners aimed to capitalize on the prevailing strong market conditions in most capital cities.

Australian home values experienced a notable increase of 0.34% in March, with the median price in capital cities rising by 0.4%. This upsurge has propelled Australian property prices to reach unprecedented highs, building upon the gains observed in the previous month.

Sydney, Australia’s most expensive city, witnessed a remarkable 8.61% surge in house prices over the past year, driving the median value of a typical house to $1.369 million, marking a substantial increase of approximately $111,000 compared to just a year ago. Similarly, property prices in Perth, Brisbane, and Adelaide have also soared to record highs, according to the latest data.

PropTrack’s senior economist, Eleanor Creagh, attributes this surge in property prices to the persistent demand from homebuyers, which has effectively absorbed the surge in property listings, resulting in further price escalations. Despite an increase in the number of homes hitting the market, the demand-supply imbalance continues to exert upward pressure on prices.

The Reserve Bank’s decision to maintain interest rates steady last month, coupled with expectations of potential interest rate cuts in the future, is anticipated to further fuel home buying activity. The prospect of lower interest rates is likely to bolster buyer confidence and stimulate the housing market.

In Perth, where housing supply remains constrained, strong population growth has driven property prices to unprecedented levels, recording the highest home price increase among the capital cities in March. The Western Australian capital now boasts the strongest property market in the country, with house prices surging by 19.25% over the past year.

Amidst these market dynamics, the unit market has also witnessed significant growth, outpacing house prices with a 2% rise so far in 2024. The relative affordability of units, coupled with strong demand for inner-city living post-pandemic, has contributed to the buoyancy observed in the apartment market.

As property prices continue to surge and market conditions evolve, the Australian real estate landscape remains dynamic, presenting both challenges and opportunities for homebuyers and sellers alike.

 

For more real estate news, click here.

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Rising tide of unit rents closes gap with houses in major capitals

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Rising tide of unit rents closes gap with houses in major capitals

Rising tide of unit rents closes gap with houses in major capitals

 

MCG Quantity Surveyors is proud to announce the release of its landmark report, ‘Rising Tide of Unit Rents Closes Gap with Houses in Major Capitals,’ shedding light on trans-formative trends in Australia’s rental market over the past year. This in-depth analysis underscores a narrowing affordability gap between house and unit rents in Australia’s leading capital cities: Greater Sydney, Greater Melbourne, and Greater Brisbane, highlighting significant implications for renters and investors alike.

“The findings of our report reflect a remarkable shift in the rental market dynamics, with unit rents experiencing a surge that is narrowing the affordability gap with houses in 3 of our major capitals,” says Mike Mortlock, Managing Director of MCG Quantity Surveyors. “This is indicative of a deeper change in the market, influenced by evolving preferences and housing market conditions.”

In Greater Sydney, the data reveals a consistent rise in house rents from $650 in February 2023 to $700 by February 2024, while unit rents jumped from $540 to $650 over the same period. “The accelerated growth in unit rents compared to houses suggests a strong demand for more affordable, centrally located living options,” Mortlock notes, highlighting the potential drivers behind this trend.

Greater Melbourne and Greater Brisbane follow a similar pattern, with both cities witnessing a significant increase in unit rents, closing the gap with house rents. Melbourne’s unit rents rose from $430 to $520, and Brisbane’s from $470 to $550, underscoring the appeal of urban living and the growing demand for units. “These trends are not just numbers; they tell the story of Australians’ shifting lifestyle aspirations, with a clear tilt towards higher density living options,” Mortlock elaborates.

This shift has implications for both renters, who now find the price difference between choosing a unit over a house diminishing, and investors, who are seeing units emerge as an attractive investment proposition. “For investors, the rising unit rents in inner-city areas point to a potentially higher yield in the short to medium term. However, this opportunity comes with considerations such as strata fees and the ongoing supply of new developments,” advises Mortlock.

MCG Quantity Surveyors’ report, ‘Rising Tide of Unit Rents Closes Gap with Houses in Major Capitals,’ serves as an essential guide for stakeholders across the real estate spectrum. By providing a nuanced understanding of current market trends, the report facilitates informed decision-making for property investment, urban planning and housing policy.

“For those navigating the complexities of the Australian rental market, our report offers not just insights but a roadmap for understanding the evolving landscape of housing affordability,” concludes Mortlock. “It’s crucial for both renters and investors to stay informed about these trends as they shape the future of our cities.”

 

For more real estate news, click here.

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