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Real Estate

Competition for rural property remains strong despite interest rate rises

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Competition for rural property remains strong despite interest rate rises

Elders Rural Property Update has been released today, analysing the movement of rural property values for quarter one of 2022. The report shows the sector remains strong nationally with very tight supply and high confidence, despite rising interest rates.

Key points of the first quarter (Q1) update include:

  • Transaction volume tightened significantly, decreasing nationally by 29.6 per cent (pc) in Q1-2022 to 1,513, totalling $2.6 billion.
  • National median price per hectare (ha) decreased slightly by 2.5 pc to $2,442/ha.
  • Despite a decline in median price per ha, the rolling one-year trend remains positive, increasing by 5 pc to $7,413/ha.

The report shows a decline in median price per hectare in five of the seven states and territories analysed in Q1-2022. However, the quarter-on-quarter decline was primarily due to a greater proportion of transactions in lower priced cropping dominant regions, which is historically common for Q1. Tasmania recorded the largest decline in median price per hectare, down 30.4 pc followed by Western Australia down 12 pc.

Importantly, the one year rolling median price per hectare increased for every state and territory in Q1-2022, highlighting strong underlying demand. Victoria led the way with a 9.5 pc increase followed by a 6.5 pc increase in Queensland.

Optimistic outlook, high commodity prices and good growing conditions are driving continued interest from investors and established growers seeking to expand their mixed farming operations. This has played out in the data across several states, particularly NSW with a strong increase in median price per hectare of 13.1 pc.

State Real Estate Manager NSW Richard Gemmell, attests to the quarter’s growth, saying “properties of scale, diversity and the ability to integrate into existing portfolios have been highly sought after in 2022.

“Existing landowners with a carbon neutral mandate have been active in the market and this trend will likely continue.”

The fundamentals of the rural property market remain strong, and as expected interest rates have started to increase in response to rising inflation. However, the increase in interest rates is coming from a low base and has been largely offset by gains in commodity prices particularly for grain and beef. Both remain well above year ago levels and will remain the driving force in the rural property market across Australia.

Also, rural land is generally considered a hedge against inflation as prices rise demand generally falls for most products except food. This may see greater interest for rural land from institutional and corporate investors.

Executive General Manager Real Estate Tom Russo says the outlook for Australian production remains positive, with a potential for production of grain and beef to increase alongside comparatively high prices.

“This scenario is obviously tempered by an increase in input cost prices however we expect profitability to remain high in 2022 and into 2023 which will aid buying power when it comes to rural property,” says Mr Russo.

“Overall, we expect property prices to continue to increase in the second half of 2022 driven by tight supply and high confidence across most agricultural sectors.

“The continuation of strong market fundamentals for most Australian farmland outputs and demand for product is cementing confidence from experts, farmers and investors alike. Second and third quarter updates will tell us if this prediction plays out as we expect.”

Elders source transactional level data for every rural property sale above 40 hectares in Australia from Corelogic before undertaking in-depth analysis to remove non-agricultural land uses and statistical outliers. Analysis and commentary is provided by Elders’ national network of rural real estate experts.

 

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Transparency and Accountability in Building Approvals Key

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Transparency and Accountability in Building Approvals Key

 

The Master Builders Association of NSW (MBA) has commended the NSW Government’s initiative to enhance transparency and accountability in the building approvals process with the introduction of a new reporting dashboard and a statement of expectations.

MBA Executive Director Brian Seidler expressed strong industry support for these measures, which create a clear and accessible platform to report on average building approval and lodgement times.

“In the past, consumers and builders have struggled to access information about potential delays in their development applications. This initiative changes that,” Mr. Seidler said.

“The industry will now have access to information that allows for better coordination of projects. This is a model that should be replicated across the country.”

Mr. Seidler noted that the NSW Government is leading the way by implementing additional incentives and measures to assist councils in reducing approval times.

“The dashboard reveals that some council areas need to invest more resources in addressing approval backlogs, allowing builders to proceed with delivering new homes,” he added.

The MBA views this initiative as a significant step toward improving efficiency and accountability in the building industry, ultimately benefiting both builders and consumers.

 

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Protect Yourself Against Payment Redirection Scams

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Protect Yourself Against Payment Redirection Scams

 

Payment redirection scams, where scammers impersonate conveyancers or real estate agents to provide false account numbers and redirect payments, have become alarmingly prevalent. According to the latest figures from the Australian Competition and Consumer Commission (ACCC), Australians lost more than $3 billion to scammers in 2022, including significant losses from payment redirection scams.

Prevalence of Payment Redirection Scams

As house prices rise, scammers are using increasingly sophisticated methods to intercept electronic money transfers. These scams, often referred to as business email compromise scams, have resulted in losses of $225 million intended for conveyancers to purchase new homes. The ACCC’s Scamwatch receives an average of two reports a week related to these scams linked to real estate transactions.

Recent media reports highlight the severity of these scams. One case involved a homebuyer who inadvertently sent $284,000 to a scammer’s account after the email chain with his conveyancer was hacked. Another tragic instance saw a young couple lose their $25,000 house deposit to a property scam.

Steps to Avoid Payment Redirection Scams

Scammers are adept at hacking email accounts to impersonate conveyancers or real estate agents, providing false account numbers to divert funds. To protect yourself, follow these steps:

  1. Verify Email Addresses and Account Numbers: Even if you have been corresponding with a conveyancer for some time, double-check that the email address and account number are correct. Avoid hitting “reply” or clicking on links within emails, as hackers often alter just one letter in an email address to deceive you.
  2. Avoid Using Contact Information from Suspicious Emails: Never call the phone number provided in a suspect email. Instead, use a phone number you received independently and speak to the person you have been dealing with previously. Always double-check the account number before sending any money.
  3. Be Wary of Urgent Emails: If you receive an email that creates a sense of urgency, don’t rush. Verify the email’s authenticity by contacting the company directly, using a number you obtained earlier. If the email instructs you to change payment details, confirm with the company involved before making any changes.
  4. Follow Money Transfer Precautions: Law firms like Stacks Law Firm advise clients to always verify bank account details by phone before making any money transfers. They attach warnings about potential scams to their emails to alert clients to the risks.

What to Do if You Discover a Payment Redirection Scam

If you fall victim to a scam, contact your bank immediately. The bank may be able to stop the transfer if notified within three days. If you are unsatisfied with the bank’s response, seek legal advice. This is particularly advantageous if your conveyancer is associated with a law firm.

For additional support, the national cyber support service IDCARE can help victims develop a plan to mitigate the damage. The new National Anti-Scam Centre is also coordinating efforts to combat scammers. The ACCC offers numerous resources to educate Australians on avoiding scams and protecting themselves.

For more information, visit the ACCC’s Scamwatch website.

 

For more real estate news, click here.

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Housing Policy Disaster: Property Approaches a Tipping Point

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Housing Policy Disaster: Property Approaches a Tipping Point

 

Experts predict the end of 20 per cent plus rent hikes, but the rental crisis is expected to persist as tenants compete for limited properties.

The Australian rental market is at a critical juncture. Vacancy rates have edged higher, and the pace of rental growth has slowed, but relief for renters remains distant. According to SQM Research, Australia’s rental vacancy rate increased slightly to 1.3 per cent in June from 1.2 per cent in May. Sydney’s vacancy rate rose to 1.7 per cent, Melbourne to 1.5 per cent, Brisbane to 1.1 per cent, and Perth to 0.8 per cent.

Although still a landlord’s market, SQM Research managing director Louis Christopher noted a shift. Historically, rental vacancies increase in June due to a winter lull, but this seasonal effect disappeared in 2021 and 2022. “The fact that this year we’ve recorded a seasonal increase suggests the rental market is starting to return to more normal activity levels,” he said. Christopher is confident that the era of 10 to 20 per cent annual rental increases is ending.

Tenants have responded to soaring rents by sharing housing, relocating to regional areas, or buying their first homes. This has been factored into current rents, leading Christopher to predict that future rent increases will align more closely with inflation trends.

Despite this, the rental market remains in severe shortage and is unlikely to materially soften for several years. A slight increase in vacancy rates in Sydney, Melbourne, Canberra, and Brisbane’s CBDs indicates that student demand for rental accommodation may have peaked, with migration rates expected to slow.

Dr. Peter Tulip, chief economist at the Centre for Independent Studies, agrees that the rent boom is tapering off but emphasises that the crisis continues. “Vacancies are unusually low, and the rental market remains extremely tight,” he said. He expects rents to continue rising faster than other prices and incomes, presenting a grim outlook for renters. “We have a housing policy disaster in this country, and it’s going to get worse,” he warned.

Tulip supports the NSW government’s push for more housing, especially around train lines, and calls for other governments to adopt similar measures. Despite a slight improvement, he insists that shortages remain significant.

Dr. Nicola Powell, Domain’s chief of research and economics, noted that the rental market began to turn a corner several months ago but will take longer to fully rebalance. “The vacancy rate has been nudging higher, and the pace of rental growth has slowed,” she said. Powell believes the 20 per cent annual rent increases are over.

In the June quarter, Sydney’s house rents held steady for the first time in 18 months, while Melbourne’s house rent growth was the lowest since March 2023. Powell points out that net overseas migration remains high but is decreasing, investors are returning, and households are adjusting by moving into shared housing or back with parents. “It is technically still a landlord’s market across Australia, but rental price growth has stabilised over the quarter,” she said. “The affordability ceiling hasn’t been reached; it’s been smashed.”

 

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